US Open 2025: Odds, Predictions, Best Bets on the Board

The 2025 U.S. Open is finally upon us, as the world’s best golfers descend onto Oakmont Country Club just outside of Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. There are endless storylines for the season’s third major championship.

Scottie Scheffler will look to retain his stranglehold on professional golf. He has three wins in his last few starts, including running away with the PGA Championship.

Rory McIlroy will be looking to regain his form that saw him make history at the Masters.

Once again, the best players from LIV Golf get to play alongside the PGA Tour’s best. There are 14 members of LIV in the field, with several that can make some noise.

But as bettors know, you don’t always need to know who will win the tournament to make money. With that said, let’s get to the U.S. Open odds, predictions and best bets on the board.

2025 U.S. Open Odds

We could spend time listing out the odds for all 156 players in the U.S. Open field, but that does not seem like a good use of time. Knowing the history of the event, the winner will likely come from these 20 golfers.

• Scottie Scheffler +275
• Rory McIlroy +850
• Bryson DeChambeau +900
• Jon Rahm +1200
• Xander Schauffele +2000
• Collin Morikawa +2500
• Tommy Fleetwood +3500
• Ludvig Aberg +3500
• Joaquin Niemann +4000
• Justin Thomas +4000
• Tyrrell Hatton +4500
• Sepp Straka +5000
• Patrick Cantlay +5000
• Brooks Koepka +5500
• Shane Lowry +5500
• Corey Conners +6000
• Viktor Hovland +6000
• Russell Henley +6500
• Jordan Spieth +7000
• Hideki Matsuyama +7000

Predictions for U.S. Open

Winner Over Par

This year’s tournament is expected to be a bloodbath. Several players including McIlroy have taken practice rounds at Oakmont recently, leaving the impression of carnage.

The rough is unbelievably deep and thick. The greens are exceptionally fast. If a player manages to finish under par, that might be a small miracle.

For these reasons, I firmly believe the winning score come Sunday evening will be at least a few strokes over par. When Dustin Johnson won the U.S. Open here in 2016 at 5-under, the conditions were not nearly as brutal.

But also, it was the first time in PGA Tour history a player led the field in Driving Distance, Greens in Regulation, and Scrambling. It is highly unlikely we see that again.

The winner of the tournament will be the player whose bogey avoidance is at its strongest. This week will be all about hitting fairways, missing in the right spots, and avoiding big numbers.

Rory McIlroy Misses the Cut

The Northern Irishman finally got the monkey off his back winning the Masters. That also completed the career grand slam. But since that time, his game appears to have fallen off a cliff.

After he was forced to switch out drivers ahead of the PGA Championship, his strength from the tee has disappeared. Last week, McIlroy posted his worst 36-hole finish of his PGA Tour career, finishing 149th and missing the cut.

Knowing what the rough at Oakmont looks like, expect Rory to be hacking through 36 holes and heading home early.

Best U.S. Open Bets on the Board

Sepp Straka Top 5 at +800

When we are looking for value, look no further than Straka.

The Austrian pro is having an exceptional season on the PGA Tour. He already has two wins, the American Express and the Truist Championship (previously Wells Fargo). The latter of which is played at another highly challenging course at the Philadelphia Cricket Club.

He ranks third in the FedEx Cup standings due to his stellar play and consistency. Straka has two wins, five top 10s, and is coming off a strong third-place finish at The Memorial.

Beyond that, he ranks among the best on Tour in some key statistics: namely the aforementioned Greens in Regulation (2nd) and Strokes Gained: Approach the Green (2nd).

At 8-to-1, I will happily toss a few bucks on the four-time PGA Tour winner to finish on the leaderboard.

Viktor Hovland to Win +5500

Ok, I know I wrote that the winner will likely come from the top 20. But it can be argued that Hovland is the best player on Tour without a major to his resume. He has won 11 PGA Tour and DP World Tour events, was a Ryder Cup stalwart, and captured the 2023 Tour Championship.

After a year in which he was searching for his game, the Norwegian has shown signs of life this year. He snapped his winless skid when Hovland won the Valspar. He has four other top 25s to his credit in 10 starts.

Historically speaking, Hovi has four top 10 finishes in majors since 2022. So, he has shown he has the gumption to be there at the end.

Of course, his biggest bugaboo has been his Strokes Gained: Around the Green. But with the rough looking the way it does at Oakmont for this U.S. Open, that weakness may not be as glaring. How the ball comes out of that thick stuff will largely be dependent on luck.

On a related note, in his 19 major appearances, he has curiously gained strokes around the green in 12 of them.

Not to mention the oversized greens at Oakmont present several chances to play it safe and two-putt for par. Players won’t be doing much pin seeking and playing it safe is something I expect Hovland to do a lot of this week.

At 55-to-1 and his skill level, it is worth a few shekels.

Bryson DeChambeau Top 5 at +190

DeChambeau will once again be one of the betting favorites. His ability to hit it so far off the tee will undoubtedly be an advantage. As we discussed, if someone is not able to hit it straight, they will suffer the consequences.

But unlike some other U.S. Open courses the USGA set up, this one is not incredibly long. I expect DeChambeau to attempt to simply overpower the course as he did in 2020 at Winged Foot.

He will be looking at a lot of 75 yard chips out of thick rough, but everyone if they miss the fairway, will be in much tougher shape.

I do not believe he will win, but a top five is not out of the question for the two-time U.S. Open champion.

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