Donald Trump’s Fall in Polls Is Accelerating, Nate Silver Warns
10 hours ago
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President Donald Trump’s polling numbers have been steadily declining, pollster Nate Silver said, a finding also backed by a new Quinnipiac poll.
Newsweek previously reached out to the White House on Wednesday for comment regarding Trump’s polling numbers among Hispanic Americans.
Why It Matters
Trump has notably touted positive approval ratings in news conferences and campaign rallies throughout his political career.
When he regained the Oval Office in January, Trump was coasting with positive numbers but in the last couple weeks has seen his approval ratings dropping across the polls.
What To Know
In a post to X, formerly Twitter, Silver posted about Trump’s approval numbers slipping. “This is getting to be a reasonably fast decline. We launched last week, and Trump’s approval was +0.5, now it’s -1.7,” Silver said.
In the Silver Bulletin, Trump’s approval average is aggregated from other media outlets’ surveys. As of Thursday, Trump’s approval is 47.3 percent with a disapproval rating of 49 percent.
Quinnipiac University’s poll released Thursday is also included in Silver’s average. In the poll, Trump has a 42 percent approval rating compared to a 53 percent disapproval rating. The poll was taken from March 6-11, among 1,198 “self-identified registered voters.” It has a margin of error of 2.8 percent.
Trump’s approval rating just the month before in a Quinnipiac poll was 45 percent compared to a 49 percent disapproval rating, a sizable difference month to month.
The president’s week has also been dotted with economic uncertainty amid persistent tariff threats to Canada, Mexico and China. The stock market endured its worst day of the year this week and fears of a recession have intensified.
In a CNN poll on Wednesday, Trump’s approval rating regarding the economy also took a hit, as 56 percent of Americans disapprove of Trump’s handling of the economy.
The poll also shows 44 percent approve of his economic management. The CNN poll was conducted from March 6-9, among 1,206 U.S. adults. It has a margin of error of 3.3 percent.
President Donald Trump is seen departing the U.S. Capitol following a Friends of Ireland luncheon on March 12 in Washington, D.C. (Photo by Anna Moneymaker/Getty Images) President Donald Trump is seen departing the U.S. Capitol following a Friends of Ireland luncheon on March 12 in Washington, D.C. (Photo by Anna Moneymaker/Getty Images)
What People Are Saying
Kevin Wagner, political science professor at Florida Atlantic University, told Newsweek via text message on Thursday: “Presidential approval ratings often peak in the initial months. It’s not unusual for the approval ratings to decline as the administrations make choices and policy decisions. Approval ratings can correlate with people’s perceptions of the economy so poor economic news can cause Presidents to become unpopular quickly.”
Fox News co-host Jessica Tarlov posted to X on Thursday: “Donald Trump’s approval ratings are underwater across the board. Americans don’t support how he is handling the economy, the federal work force, foreign policy, or trade. Which, is basically everything a President does.”
What Happens Next
As Trump’s first 100 days in office continue to unfold, it appears likely that his focus on the economy will continue in the immediate future.
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