NFL Week 6 Early Picks Against The Spread For All 14 Games

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Jaguars at Bears (-2.5) — Sunday, 9:30 a.m.

Jaguars-Bears takes place in London, with Chicago as the “home team” at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium.

Everett: Jaguars +2.5

Dating back to 2021, the Jags have won three of their last four games — including two in 2023 — in their second hometown of London (team Owner Shahid Khan also owns Premier League club Fulham). Will that be enough for Trevor Lawrence and Co. to win back-to-back games after an 0-3 start? I wouldn’t go that far, but I’ll take Jacksonville to cover.

Modi: Bears -2.5

After a rough first couple games for Caleb Williams, it appears as though he has found his groove, and the Bears offense looks worlds different the past two weeks than it did the first three weeks. In another easy matchup against a bad defense, they should be able to stay in the flames.

Commanders at Ravens (-6.5) — Sunday, 1 p.m.

Everett: Commanders +6.5

The Baltimore offense has been cooking the last three weeks, but the same can be said of the 4-1 Commanders. Rookie Jayden Daniels will make enough plays to keep this game close against the Ravens, who have been in competitive battles every week this season, with one exception.

Modi: Commanders +6.5

With the way the Commanders offense is rolling, it is hard to take any team to cover a full touchdown against them. Especially a Ravens defense that has been gashed through the air to start the season.

Texans (-7) at Patriots — Sunday, 1 p.m.

Everett: Texans -7

Taking heavy favorites this season has been incredibly risky, and Houston could have an even more difficult time covering if the Pats finally turn to Drake Maye after another ugly performance by Jacoby Brissett last Sunday. But New England just isn’t scoring enough to convince me that it will keep this game tight.

Modi: Patriots +7

Backing the Patriots is always a scary proposition, but I have concerns about the Texans offense without WR Nico Collins, so this one stays closer than expected.

Browns at Eagles (-8.5) — Sunday, 1 p.m.

Everett: Eagles -8.5

Speaking of teams that badly need a QB change, the Browns are reeling thanks to Deshaun Watson’s abysmal play. As long as he’s under center, I feel comfortable laying even a substantial number like 8.5 with whoever Cleveland is facing. Expect Philly to get right in a must-win game coming off a bad loss to Tampa Bay followed by a bye week.

Modi: Eagles -8.5

Backing this mess of an Eagles team to win by more than a touchdown is definitely scary, but the Browns are an even bigger mess, and they will not be going anywhere until they bench QB Deshaun Watson.

Cardinals at Packers (-5) — Sunday, 1 p.m.

Everett: Packers -5

Coming off a win in Jordan Love’s return to the field last Sunday, the Packers should be able to outlast Arizona in a shootout. I expect Kyler Murray and the Cards to keep this one close for most of the game, but I like Green Bay to ultimately prevail by a touchdown or more.

Modi: Packers -5

It was an impressive victory for the Cardinals last week against the 49ers, but they had a lot of luck go their way, something that you cannot count on week-over-week. Packers take care of business at home.

Colts (-1) at Titans — Sunday, 1 p.m.

Everett: Colts -1

Coming off a Week 4 win over win over the Tyler Huntley-led Dolphins and a bye week, Tennessee has a chance to pull a slight upset at home over its division rival. I like what I’ve seen from Joe Flacco the last two weeks, though, and the possible return of RB Jonathan Taylor makes me like Indy even more in this game.

Modi: Colts -1

Assuming QB Will Levis gets the start here, we go back to fading the Titans. Simple as that.

Buccaneers (-2.5) at Saints — Sunday, 1 p.m.

Everett: Buccaneers -2.5

The Saints’ dominant 2-0 start might go down as one of the biggest head-scratchers of the season, especially if their offensive line doesn’t get healthy soon. The Bucs were unlucky to lose to Atlanta in Week 4, and they’ll bounce back after a long week between their Thursday nighter a week ago and this game. The Saints, on the other hand, are fresh off an ugly loss to the Chiefs on Monday night, and they could be without QB Derek Carr.

Modi: Buccaneers -2.5

It is hard to have much of an opinion on this game without knowing the status of Saints QB Derek Carr, but I would probably be on the Bucs either way against a Saints team that has now lost three straight.

Steelers (-3) at Raiders — Sunday, 4:05 p.m.

Everett: Steelers -3

The Raiders are coming off a rough loss at division rival Denver, while Pittsburgh has lost two games in a row. Mike Tomlin’s team will figure out a way to avoid going from 3-0 to 3-3, and it will do so by at least a field goal or more.

Modi: Raiders +3

This is one of our weekly “plug your nose and bet” type of plays after the Raiders got shellacked by the Broncos last week. But the Steelers are in the midst of a tailspin themselves, as their offense sputtered against a skeleton crew Cowboys defense last week.

Chargers (-3) at Broncos — Sunday, 4:05 p.m.

Everett: Broncos +3

The Broncos defense appears capable of keeping them in every game, especially at Empower Field at Mile High. Rookie QB Bo Nix is coming off the best game of his young career. Together, he and the Broncos D should be able to make this a tight, low-scoring contest, if not another upset for Denver, which is 4-1 ATS (3-2 SU) this year.

Modi: Broncos +3

I am not sure the general public has caught on to just how good this Broncos defense is. On the other side, Broncos QB Bo Nix is similar to fellow rookie QB Caleb Williams in that he has looked much better recently, so the Broncos keep this one close.

Falcons (-6) at Panthers — Sunday, 4:25 p.m.

Everett: Falcons -6

Carolina has been hit hard by the injury bug the last few weeks, and it’s hard to see the Panthers D being competitive in this state. Atlanta is potent offensively, and it shouldn’t surprise anyone if the Falcons avenge a close loss to the Panthers in Charlotte last year with an emphatic win this Sunday.

Modi: Falcons -6

The Panthers had a run ride when they first brought in Andy Dalton to start, but the fun is over now. They have lost two straight, and they got blown out by the Bears last week. This Falcons offense is rolling, and they stay hot.

Lions (-3) at Cowboys — Sunday, 4:25 p.m.

Everett: Lions -3

The Cowboys may have some offensive firepower outside of CeeDee Lamb and Jake Ferguson, after all. WR Jalen Tolbert helped Dallas upset the Steelers on the road last Sunday night, but against one of the best running games in the league, a Cowboys D that struggled against New Orleans and Baltimore could be in for a long day. I’ll take the high-scoring Lions to move to 4-1.

Modi: Lions -3

It was an impressive victory for the Cowboys over the Steelers last week, but I am having a hard time seeing a scenario in which they can stop this rushing attack of the Lions. This has the makings of a game that could get out of hand quickly.

Bengals (-3.5) at Giants — Sunday, 8:20 p.m.

Everett: Bengals -3.5

Cincinnati is much better than its 1-4 record would indicate, and this team isn’t going to let its season go down the drain with yet another loss. The Giants are no pushover, and this one will be tight, but the Bengals will ultimately win by a touchdown or more.

Modi: Giants +3.5

Even without star rookie WR Malik Nabers last week, the Giants offense looked surprisingly competent. One could even say above-average. Since the Week 1 debacle, the Giants offense has quietly moved the ball consistently up and down the field, and this Bengals offense cannot stop anybody.

Bills (-2) at Jets — Monday, 8:15 p.m.

Everett: Jets +2

I’m not a big believer in the Jets turning their season around following the shocking firing of Robert Saleh on Tuesday morning, but I expect a strong effort from this team for at least one game against in-state division rival Buffalo.

Modi: Bills -2

I do not feel great about either side here, but this Jets offense has been Zach Wilson-level bad on the year, and I will gladly fade them when I get the chance.

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