Based on research by a prestigious American institute, Fidesz–KDNP is the most popular political force in Hungary, with the Tisza party (main opposition party) lagging behind in the popularity contest, said Levente Szikra, senior analyst at the Center for Fundamental Rights.
The analyst was responding to an American study commissioned by Index, which found that
Fidesz–KDNP would still win in an election held this Sunday, with a significant portion of voters seeing risks in a change of government led by Péter Magyar.
He said that McLaughlin & Associates, the company that conducted the survey, is a highly respected, experienced and reputable institute that has worked with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, U.S. President Donald Trump, and other conservative politicians around the world.
They have a particularly large number of clients in the United States and also conduct opinion polls in Hungary.
He emphasized that this is worth mentioning because many opinion polls have been published in Hungary in recent months, and there are often significant discrepancies between them.
We cannot be equally confident in the figures from all institutes, nor can we consider the figures from all institutes to be equally reliable, but McLaughlin & Associates is an institute that is definitely worth paying attention to,”
he said.
He added that there is still a long time until the April election, and that there is clearly an election race, but Fidesz–KDNP will enter the official start of the campaign period from a position of strength.
The analyst from the Center for Fundamental Rights pointed out that the messages of the two main political forces are very clearly different:
Fidesz-KDNP would choose the Hungarian path, while the Tisza Party would choose the Brussels path. For example, Fidesz-KDNP would even risk conflict with European leaders over the energy issue in order to be able to purchase Russian gas.
As another example, he mentioned that the migration pact must be implemented from the summer, which a Fidesz–KDNP-led government would not do, while the Tisza Party “obviously” intends to do so.
Levente Szikra pointed out that the Tisza Party’s program presented on Saturday includes the phasing out of Russian gas by 2035, and since the European Union has set this date for 2027, he asked how they would solve this eight-year gap.
According to the analyst, the Tisza Party has two programs, one being “the infamous 600-page program, which contains significant austerity measures,” and the other being the “campaign showcase program” that has just been presented.
Szikra does not consider the latter to be feasible because, in his opinion, it is distant from reality and serves to divert attention from the other program that has been “leaked.”
As he said, opinion polls are extremely contradictory, and he sees that “left-wing” polling institutes engage in “probability management,” viewing their own research as self-fulfilling prophecies, seeking to ensure that the “left-wing support” they measure becomes a reality as a result of their influence.
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Government Parties Maintain Strong Lead in Latest Polls
New polling data shows Fidesz–KDNP with a solid parliamentary lead, potentially earning 64% of seats, while opposition parties struggle to gain traction.Continue reading
Via MTI, Index; Featured photo: MTI/Miniszterelnöki Kommunikációs Fõosztály/Kaiser Ákos
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