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The Oregon Ducks (13-1) are the underdogs, but by less than a touchdown (+3.5), in a College Football Playoff National Championship Semifinal in the Peach Bowl, where they will face the No. 1 Indiana Hoosiers (14-0) in Atlanta, Georgia, starting at 7:30 p.m. ET on January 9, 2026, live on ESPN. The over/under is set at 48.5.
Last time around, the Hoosiers defeated the Alabama Crimson Tide, with 38-3 being the final score. The Ducks’ last game was against the Texas Tech Red Raiders, and they won by a score of 23-0.
Keep up with college football all season on FOX Sports.
[RELATED: Underdogs Yet Favorites, Indiana Football Continues Defying Odds in CFP Run]
Indiana vs. Oregon Game Information & Odds
- When: Friday, January 9, 2026 at 7:30 p.m. ET
- Location: Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, Georgia
- TV: ESPN
- Streaming: FOX One + ESPN Bundle
Indiana vs. Oregon Prediction
Take the Hoosiers over the Oregon Ducks in tonight’s College Football Playoff semifinal at the Peach Bowl. Indiana’s 14-0 record speaks volumes about its strength, with a defense that has been nearly impenetrable, allowing just 10.3 PPG. Quarterback Fernando Mendoza has been a playmaker, throwing for 3,172 yards and 36 TDs while rushing for 256 yards and six touchdowns.
Oregon has been impressive but has a few injury concerns, as Jordon Davison is out with a broken clavicle and Noah Whittington is listed as questionable. Despite these challenges, the Ducks have shown resilience, having shut out Texas Tech 23-0 in their past game. However, their offense will likely struggle against Indiana’s stout defense, which has held opponents to just 73.7 rushing yards per game.
The Hoosiers have a clear edge, having already beaten the Ducks 30-20 in their previous matchup. With Indiana favored by 3.5 points and the moneyline odds at -183, the Hoosiers are the betting favorites to secure another victory. The predicted final score is Indiana 28, Oregon 23.
- Pick ATS: Indiana (-3.5)
- Pick OU: Over (48.5)
- Prediction: Indiana 28, Oregon 23
Prediction provided by FOX Sports’ Sports AI. Download the FOX Sports App for free access to Sports AI.
Indiana vs. Oregon Betting Insights
- Per the spread and over/under, the implied score for the tilt is Hoosiers 26, Ducks 22.
- The Hoosiers have a 64.7% chance to collect the win in this game based on the moneyline’s implied probability. The Ducks have a 39.5% implied probability.
- Indiana has compiled a 9-5-0 record against the spread this season.
- Oregon has put together an 8-6-0 ATS record so far this season.
Indiana vs. Oregon: 2025 Stats Comparison
| |
Indiana |
Oregon |
| Off. Points per Game (Rank) |
41.6 (2) |
38 (6) |
| Def. Points per Game (Rank) |
10.3 (2) |
15.1 (10) |
| Turnovers Allowed (Rank) |
8 (3) |
12 (16) |
| Turnovers Forced (Rank) |
26 (6) |
21 (25) |
Indiana 2025 Key Players
| Name |
Position |
Stats |
| Fernando Mendoza |
QB |
3,172 YDS (72.3%) / 36 TD / 6 INT
256 RUSH YDS / 6 RUSH TD / 18.3 RUSH YPG |
| Omar Cooper Jr. |
WR |
62 REC / 873 YDS / 12 TD / 62.4 YPG |
| Roman Hemby |
RB |
1,007 YDS / 7 TD / 71.9 YPG / 5.2 YPC
14 REC / 160 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 14.5 REC YPG |
| Elijah Sarratt |
WR |
54 REC / 703 YDS / 13 TD / 58.6 YPG |
| Rolijah Hardy |
LB |
80 TKL / 12 TFL / 8 SACK |
| Isaiah Jones |
LB |
58 TKL / 11 TFL / 7 SACK / 1 INT |
| Aiden Fisher |
LB |
69 TKL / 5 TFL / 3.5 SACK / 2 INT |
| Louis Moore |
DB |
63 TKL / 2 TFL / 5 INT / 5 PD |
Oregon 2025 Key Players
FOX Sports used technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
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